Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.124138 0.146057 0.170560 0.199963 0.234268 0.273015 0.320085
2025-11-09 0.086587 0.113328 0.146384 0.190177 0.246602 0.316788 0.410672
2025-11-16 0.068579 0.097197 0.135329 0.189695 0.265062 0.365695 0.510127
2025-11-23 0.055084 0.083404 0.123552 0.184371 0.273909 0.400600 0.593184
2025-11-30 0.047628 0.076353 0.119312 0.187869 0.294136 0.452129 0.704341
2025-12-07 0.041063 0.069315 0.113655 0.187811 0.308196 0.495286 0.807280
2025-12-14 0.034949 0.061885 0.106085 0.183275 0.314032 0.525665 0.892989
2025-12-21 0.030686 0.056793 0.101435 0.182570 0.325490 0.565594 0.997880
2025-12-28 0.028288 0.054541 0.101170 0.189084 0.349609 0.628661 1.148191
2026-01-04 0.026467 0.053032 0.101928 0.197346 0.377530 0.700909 1.322075
2026-01-11 0.024412 0.050754 0.100928 0.202122 0.399450 0.764534 1.486985
2026-01-18 0.022072 0.047564 0.097756 0.202265 0.412474 0.812956 1.628467
2026-01-25 0.019154 0.042934 0.091486 0.196173 0.413996 0.842457 1.742571
2026-02-01 0.016300 0.038013 0.083997 0.186685 0.407724 0.856629 1.829505
2026-02-08 0.014641 0.035441 0.081027 0.186224 0.419963 0.909022 2.000102
2026-02-15 0.012835 0.032232 0.076202 0.180996 0.421197 0.938658 2.126288
2026-02-22 0.011880 0.030874 0.075308 0.184432 0.441889 1.011731 2.354352
2026-03-01 0.010804 0.029044 0.073054 0.184375 0.454567 1.068655 2.553153
2026-03-08 0.009598 0.026683 0.069195 0.179920 0.456320 1.101192 2.700139
2026-03-15 0.008739 0.025092 0.066995 0.179228 0.466990 1.155318 2.903640
2026-03-22 0.008322 0.024625 0.067567 0.185626 0.495979 1.255790 3.229450
2026-03-29 0.008009 0.024401 0.068738 0.193741 0.530337 1.372989 3.609453
2026-04-05 0.007567 0.023734 0.068633 0.198432 0.556384 1.472554 3.956560